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PriceSignal

AI-powered commodity price forecasts for smart procurement

ARIMA + Exponential Smoothing models. Steel, fuel & interest rates. Updated weekly.

Current Price
3420 ¥/t
8-Week Forecast
+2.6%
Signal
📈 bullish
Model Confidence
87%
Historical (8 weeks)Forecast (8 weeks)
W-7W-6W-5W-4W-3W-2W-1NowW+1W+2W+3W+4W+5W+6W+7W+8
Model: ARIMA(2,1,2) + ETS(A,A,N)Training: 12 months rollingUpdated: 4/4/2026Backtested MAPE: 3.2%

Features

📊

Live Dashboard

Interactive charts for all tracked commodities. Historical + forecast overlays with confidence intervals.

🔔

Price Alerts

Set threshold alerts. Get notified via email or WeChat when prices cross your buy/sell targets.

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Auto Reports

Weekly PowerPoint reports auto-generated with charts, forecasts, and procurement recommendations.

Market Validation

📊 Market Data

  • • Commodity analytics market growing at 12.3% CAGR
  • • Chinese steel market >1B tonnes/year production
  • • AU fuel price monitoring used by 50K+ businesses
  • • RBA rate decisions affect $2T+ in mortgages
  • • SMB procurement teams lack affordable forecasting tools

🎯 Unfair Advantage

  • • Working ARIMA/ETS models already backtested for 12 months
  • • Steel forecast pipeline validated with 3.2% MAPE
  • • Auto PowerPoint report generation already built (python-pptx)
  • • Bilingual dashboards (English + Chinese) ready
  • • Data pipelines for AIP fuel, RBA rates, steel markets operational

Practical Next Steps

Week 1-2
Wrap Python forecast models in FastAPI. Deploy as serverless functions on Vercel or Railway.
Week 3-4
Build React dashboard with interactive Recharts/D3 charts. Add commodity selector and date range picker.
Week 5-6
Add email alert system (Resend API) and auto-generated weekly PPTX report download.
Week 7-8
Beta test with 10 procurement managers and steel traders in Chinese import/export businesses.
Month 3
Launch SaaS: Free tier (1 commodity, weekly updates), Pro $49/mo (all commodities, daily, alerts, reports).

Get Early Access

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